Wednesday, August 10, 2005

Poll Number Nonsense, and Bush's Own Fault

It is clear that poll numbers are meaningless to the President. They will likely have no further relevance to him in his lifetime. He is done running for office. But if you listen to the Democrats and the loony NYT left, one would imagine that polling in the mid forties is the end of the Administration.

Bush has never governed by polls. He knows that they slip up and down. Interestingly, Bush was re-elected nine months ago with about 51-52% in the polls. He now sits in the mid forties with a error range of about 3% one way or the other. So given the "terrible" polling data from which the media claim Bush suffers, he may have slipped just a bit, and so little slippage in the face of their relentless negative pounding actually says quite a bit about the faith the nation has in a President whose Administration is probably one of the worst communicators ever.

If Bush's Administration has one single failing, it is that they cannot control the message. They are reactive, not proactive, meaning that they spend more time correcting unfair media misstatements of facts rather than simply stating the correct facts in the first place. Such ineffectiveness cost Jimmy Carter a second term, and very similarly Bush's father. And the media have done their best to use the words "quagmire" and "failure" to describe the war in Iraq. They have refused to speak to soldiers coming back who believe in what they are doing over there, rather selecting young John Kerrys who will come back and paint the worst possible picture of the place. They have failed to accurately report on what is a growing and booming economy. But they'll report the negatives, both real and perceived, as quickly as they can. And despite both conditions which should spell political doom for the President, Bush's poll numbers have remained fairly stable. People are not caring as much and have probably tired of the MoveOn/Michael Moore hysterical rhetoric.

But the issue of poll numbers has some relevance. Bush does not intend to sit on his second term. He is pushing Social Security and probably tax reform in the next two years. And Democrats know that a popularly weakened president will have problems, especially in the Senate, passing any meaningful legislation if he doesn't have the nation behind him.

And if Bush wishes to have a successful second term it would be advisable for him to communicate his agenda directly to the American people who re-elected him. Because the media won't do a thing to help him.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have wondered since before the last election what is up with Bush's communications function -- I thought Karen Hughes had been brought back to remedy it, and wonder why Karl Rove hasn't pointed out the terrible failings in that area. Bush's surrogates are not out explaining ANYthing as near as I can tell, and it is a terrible shame. He won't be running for office ever again, but the policies he has begun will wither without the public's understanding. How to get through to him, to get him to pay attention?

10:22 PM  
Blogger Notta Libb said...

Check out a funny site dedicated to the absurdity and satire nature of saying "It's All George Bush's Fault!"

Notta Libb

4:52 PM  

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